Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 94490.075611 99615.484600 104735.708645 110231.095395 115958.626197 121748.599635 128040.538502
2025-06-22 86426.336857 94306.591220 102394.709965 111305.980994 120837.726365 130716.629265 141718.370210
2025-06-29 80080.167216 89810.196544 100012.944944 111487.106123 124009.220730 137237.787362 152246.546856
2025-07-06 75070.352168 86162.210822 98003.939495 111550.823031 126582.175949 142711.929480 161290.989091
2025-07-13 72156.597270 84481.241796 97843.137599 113352.628867 130804.087601 149777.872767 171909.560868
2025-07-20 69562.554222 82920.133871 97603.838533 114870.297141 134541.747883 156178.269812 181696.420455
2025-07-27 66934.462184 81130.870884 96938.218007 115749.594847 137426.599143 161521.903476 190226.246943
2025-08-03 64135.812374 78981.855093 95714.680259 115853.021417 139308.096357 165637.607126 197296.774510
2025-08-10 61785.481038 77229.177410 94834.731151 116246.875933 141433.367237 169964.227696 204564.860888
2025-08-17 59465.459961 75400.318579 93764.786974 116324.418741 143110.821747 173715.334840 211130.606125
2025-08-24 57979.950831 74493.802473 93717.339455 117549.650852 146090.440445 178954.470497 219425.853504
2025-08-31 55866.182564 72738.199011 92577.375389 117399.218805 147379.416885 182168.673966 225320.531200
2025-09-07 54795.353832 72237.616881 92941.139915 119066.099600 150870.403029 188040.657331 234452.450756
2025-09-14 53400.758197 71283.710455 92711.048958 119979.990612 153438.300743 192818.692313 242312.663102
2025-09-21 51708.158415 69893.954531 91890.257500 120121.132785 155030.322354 196406.329745 248744.757091
2025-09-28 50077.545513 68523.461116 91040.146281 120177.381322 156479.705473 199797.703023 254933.404497
2025-10-05 49431.624725 68378.703397 91696.001905 122088.913043 160207.360176 205961.887777 264515.417920
2025-10-12 48688.491810 68076.127872 92127.221507 123700.306181 163556.066831 211672.038359 273572.904386
2025-10-19 47679.515997 67390.919229 92041.670914 124633.999638 166044.014219 216324.557721 281350.645242
2025-10-26 46355.340670 66249.567243 91334.819329 124743.805387 167471.693523 219655.131945 287500.853216
2025-11-02 45230.834766 65336.773968 90890.707148 125162.046450 169269.317488 223436.841977 294217.888110
2025-11-09 44016.229383 64266.741870 90209.241432 125244.388489 170617.335837 226646.199208 300225.108203
2025-11-16 43366.784000 63936.213529 90476.934123 126545.393505 173519.804556 231812.812671 308707.159776